Champions League Preview: Borussia Dortmund vs. PSG

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The knockout stage of the UEFA Champions League starts on Tuesday with a duel between Borussia Dortmund and French champions PSG. The Saints are slight favorites, but Dortmund are hard to beat at Signal Iduna Park, so we will have a quite exciting tilt. Check out our Champions League Preview for this duel.

BORUSSIA DORTMUND

Back in September, Borussia Dortmund prevented their own eventual UEFA Champions League group’s winners from getting an away goal (0-0). That result stands as Dortmund’s only stalemate across their last nine UCL fixtures (W4, D1, L4).

Each of the four wins in the above sequence saw Dortmund win the second half to-nil (doing so 1-0 on three occasions). Impressively, the hosts are undefeated at home in the UCL since losing in their home leg at this stage last year (W2, D1). 60% of their goals scored therein coming beyond the hour mark.

Borussia Dortmund Team News

Lucien Favre cannot count on Julian Brandt (ankle), Thomas Delaney (ankle), and Marco Reus (muscle).

Trends:

  • A second-half double from Achraf Hakimi gave Dortmund their last UCL home win over a club from the top six coefficient-ranked UEFA associations
  • Four of Dortmund’s last six UCL home goals conceded have come within the 40th-50th minute period
  • Seven of Dortmund’s last eight UCL home goals scored during a win have arrived beyond the hour mark

PSG

None of the last eight legs of Round-of-16 action involving PSG have ended level (W4, L4). Both teams scored in six (75%) of those legs. The bulk of the goals may come after the break if PSG win, with PSG’s last four UCL victories (all yielding a clean sheet) seeing them score an average of 2.00 second-half goals.

Unbeaten in their last six UCL away matches (W4, D2), PSG’s strong second-half performances in this competition have been particularly prevalent on foreign soil lately. The Parisian powerhouses averaging 2.33 goals beyond the break across their last three UCL away wins.

PSG Team News

Thomas Tuchel will be without Colin Dagba (knee), Abdou Diallo (thigh), and Leandro Paredes (coach’s decision).

Trends:

  • A goalscorer in PSG’s last European road trip, Kylian Mbappé has averaged 2.00 goals beyond the hour mark across his last two UCL away games
  • Five of PSG’s last six UCL R16 legs have separated the teams by a margin of over 1.5 goals

H2H RECORD

These rivals met twice in the Europa League in 2010-11 season. Both games ended without a winner (1-1 in Dortmund and 0-0 in Paris).

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