Serie A Betting Tip: AC Milan vs Inter

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Derby della Madonnina is always attracting a lot of attention, so check out our Serie A Betting Tip for the clash between AC Milan and Inter. The “visitors” are the only team with maximum nine points after the opening three rounds and are favourites to beat eternal rivals tonight. However, it’s not going to be easy as Inter played the Champions League in midweek while Milan will be looking to get the third victory in a row.

AC Milan vs Inter Serie A Betting Tip

  • Italy Serie A
  • Stadio San Siro, Milano
  • Saturday 21 September
  • 20:45 CET

AC Milan Team News and Latest Form

AC Milan will go level on points with the bitter rivals Inter if they get a win in the 224th edition of Derby della Madonnina. Their 1-0 victory over Verona last weekend is the third game with that scoreline in as many 2019/20 Serie A matches (W2, L1). The Rossoneri won one half 1-0 in four of their previous five SA home fixtures.

A win for Milan would be only the team’s second derby success since the start of 2014/15 campaign (W1, D5, L4), with all of those losses seeing one half drawn. Additionally, Milan’s previous five league derby wins have all seen them win one half by a 1-0 result, en-route to a win to-nil.

Suso is the last man to score a brace for Milan in a league derby while he was a contributor to a second-half goal or assist in three of the previous six Serie A H2H encounters. None of Milan’s three matches this year provided goals on both ends.

Marco Giampaolo will be without defender Mattia Caldara, who is still recovering from a knee injury and is waiting for his first Serie A game for the Rossoneri.

Inter Team News and Latest Form

Inter’s current all-time lead in Serie A H2H duels was augmented in 2018/19 after a league double over Milan, with both clashes producing under 1.5 goals in the opening 45 minutes. That being said, none of Inter’s last eight Serie A derby victories has seen them win both halves.

Inter Milan now won their last four SA games against any team, with three of them being settled by a one-goal difference. Particularly striking, however, is the fact that (including off-pitch dismissals) Inter’s rivals have received a straight red card in 75% of those four wins.

Matías Vecino recorded a goal and assist in two league H2H tilts played the previous campaign while both involvements were the first goal of their respective games. Inter failed to keep the clean sheet in six of the last eight away matches.

AC Milan vs Inter Head to Head

Inter won four of the last ten H2H duels (D4, L2), including the previous two, while the Nerazzurri are without a defeat in the past three games when they were “guests” at San Siro.

AC Milan vs Inter Serie A Betting Tip

Four of the last seven H2H clashes ended as a draw. Even though Inter are slight favourites here, my Serie A Betting Tip for this encounter is a draw at 3.20 (+220). The last seven league H2H matches have provided a per-game average of exactly 6.0 yellow cards. The spread on the cards for this duel is set at 7.5, and although I expect a feisty affair, my additional pick is Under 7.5 cards at 1.67 (-150). Stay with us for more betting tips this weekend.

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