Champions League Betting Pick: Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona

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One of the most exciting games of the opening round of UCL group stage will be played tonight when Dortmund welcome Barcelona, so check out our Champions League Betting Pick for this encounter. Last season’s elimination to eventual Champions League winners Liverpool is still fresh in Barcelona’s memory. They will try to redeem themselves this time around, but it’s not going to be easy against excellent Dortmund. Borussia, on the other hand, are looking to make it to the knockout phase again. They are hoping to take a step forward and reach the quarter-finals after losing to Tottenham in the 1/8 finals.

Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona Champions League Betting Pick

  • UEFA Champions League
  • Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund
  • Tuesday 17 September
  • 21:00 CET

Borussia Dortmund Team News and Latest Form

With all of Borussia Dortmund’s league matches of 2019/20 producing over 3.5 goals, there is hope that the record from them (W3, L1) can mean something. Each of those three league wins have seen Dortmund net at least three times in the second half.

For the fourth season running, the top seeds of Dortmund’s UEFA Champions League group are a LaLiga team from the usual top three of the Spanish top-flight (as they were in 2018/19). Dortmund’s home record from these UCL games stands at W1, D1, L1 (GF 7, GA 5).

Marco Reus hit a double for Dortmund at the weekend, with both goals arriving in the second half. Dortmund’s last two wins have each seen them score exactly twice beyond the 80th minute. About to play a team that lost 4-0 in its previous UCL away game, Dortmund have seen their last four UCL home wins come by a margin of 3+ goals.

Lucien Favre will be without Nico Schulz (foot) while Lukasz Piszczek is doubtful with a muscle injury.

Barcelona Team News and Latest Form

Barcelona’s domestic form is emphatic, with their last three LaLiga games each producing 4+ match goals in total, with a brace of 5-2 wins (albeit at home) standing amongst that. Overall, nine of Barcelona’s last 11 domestic goals this term have arrived in the second half.

Meanwhile, the odd two goals out in that above sequence of wins have come inside the opening ten minutes for Barcelona. However, both of Barcelona’s league wins this season have seen them concede exactly once inside the first 30 minutes, and then again beyond the 75th minute.

Anssumane Fati, 16, grabbed a goal and an assist last time out and has been Barca’s first goalscorer across his previous two matches. Last season saw Barcelona take seven points from their group stage away games (GF 7, GA 4).

Ernesto Valverde cannot count on Ousmane Dembele (muscle) and Samuel Umtiti (foot), but Lionel Messi is healthy and will lead Barca tonight.

Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona Head to Head

These rivals have met only twice before, and it was in UEFA Super Cup in 1998. Back then, two matches were played, and Barcelona won the first leg 2-0 while it was 1-1 in the returning leg.

Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona Champions League Betting Pick

Barcelona conceded at least a goal in each of their four LaLiga games this season, including the last three when they allowed precisely two. They did score even 12 goals in the previous three and all that without talismanic Messi. Dortmund are also high-scoring early in the season, and although they kept their net intact in a 4-0 win over Leverkusen, I don’t think they will keep a clean sheet tonight. That’s why my Champions League Betting Pick for this match is BTTS and Over 2.5 goals at 1.66 (-150). Last night, we had a winning bet on the Premier League clash between Aston Villa and West Ham, and you can check it out here.

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