The second legs of the UEFA Champions League Third Qualifying Round are set for this Tuesday, and we’ll see ten exciting games. Hereof, we’ve prepared some Champions League betting tips and predictions.
Each but one of ten teams on the road will have to score to keep their hopes alive. Only Club Brugge has a 1-0 advantage ahead of the second leg in Kyiv, while a few teams are at a pretty tight spot.
Maribor, Basel, and APOEL are all in dire straits
Maribor lost the first leg to Rosenborg 3-1, so the Violets need to win by three or more goals in Trondheim which seems like an impossible mission. Rosenborg is a 1.60 favorite to win the second leg, and the Norwegian champs are on a five-game winning streak at home, scoring 17 goals in that span.
However, Maribor netted in 12 straight outings on the road, so I expect the violets to score in Trondheim at 1.55 odds. Considering the first-leg outcome, this should be another high-scoring affair, and 1.80 odds on the over 2.5 goals are quite tempting.
Basel and APOEL both disappointed with 2-1 losses last week and need to score at least twice this Tuesday. Basel eliminated PSV on away goals in the previous round, so I think they should score at LASK, as well as APOEL should do at Qarabag.
Both APOEL and Qarabag missed plenty of scoring opportunities in the first leg, so I expect to see at least two goals in the total in the second leg at 1.40 odds. On the other side, LASK is on a five-game winning streak, while all Basel’s seven games this season saw both teams scoring and three or more goals in the total.
The price on both teams to score in Linz is 1.55, while Over 2.5 Goals pay 1.70, and I would rather go with the over on the totals.
Porto, Olympiakos, and Celtic should finish the job at home
Porto defeated Krasnodar 1-0 last week, keeping the ball in possession for 56% of the time while taking seven shots more than their rivals (16-9). On a paper, Porto is a better team than Krasnodar. The Dragons should prove it on the field as 1.50 favorites, especially after a 2-1 defeat at Gil Vicente in the opener of the Portuguese Primeira Liga.
Celtic earned a 1-1 stalemate at Cluj, but I’m not sure the Hoops deserved to be 1.50 favorites at home. Howsoever, Celtic bagged 14 goals in three outings at home this season, while the Hoops are undefeated in nine straight contests at Celtic Park. Cluj lost one of its four road tilts this season, scoring 10 goals in that span.
Olympiakos escaped with a 1-0 victory over Basaksehir in Istanbul, but the Turkish vice-champions missed the penalty kick along with a few nice scoring chances. Hereof, I expect to see a thrilling second leg in Greece. Basaksehir will have to push forward, so taking both teams to score at 1.85 sounds interesting.
Ajax is a massive fave to beat PAOK
The first leg between Ajax and PAOK was a pure firecracker ended in a 2-2 draw. Now, Ajax is a 1.30 fave to win the second leg in front of the home fans, and I cannot argue with the bookies. Still, Ajax has a couple of newcomers at the back, so I wouldn’t be surprised if PAOK finds the net.
Elsewhere, Dinamo Zagreb is a slight favorite to beat Ferencvarosi in Budapest after a 1-1 draw in Zagreb, while Copenhagen is a 1.90 favorite to beat Red Star following a 1-1 stalemate in Belgrade.
These two contests should see each team finding the net. Red Star was a better team than Copenhagen in the first leg, but the Danish champions were pretty lucky to earn a draw. Likewise, Dinamo took 14 shots more than Ferencvarosi and still failed to win, blowing a few massive scoring opportunities.
Finally, Dinamo Kyiv hosts Club Brugge as a slight 2.10 fave to win the second leg. Dinamo lost to Shakhtar 2-1 this past Saturday and will be highly motivated to beat the Belgian side. However, Club Brugge could be very dangerous through counter-attacks, so this one could easily go either way.
My Picks: Maribor to Score; Qarabag vs APOEL Over 1.5 Goals; Ajax vs PAOK Over 2.5 Goals