EFL Championship Betting Pick: Leeds United vs Nottingham Forest

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The second round of the English Championship starts with a clash between Leeds United vs Nottingham Forest, and in the following article, we’re giving you the EFL Championship Betting Pick for this encounter. The Peacocks opened the new campaign with a 3-1 road victory over Bristol City while the Reds suffered a 2-1 home defeat to West Brom. Leeds United are firm favourites to get another three points here, but Sabri Lamouchi’s side will be eager to bounce back and get a positive result on Saturday.

Leeds United vs Nottingham Forest

•  England Championship

•  Elland Road, Leeds

•  Saturday 10 August

•  13:30 CET

Leeds United Team News and Latest Form

Winning their Championship opener with a 3-1 win over Bristol City, Leeds United haven’t lost a matchday two fixture since 2016/17. Returning home for the first time since their 2-4 loss in the playoffs to Derby in May, Elland Road saw five shock league defeats last season (W14, D4).

Including playoffs, Leeds’ have won 55.4% of 11 home matches (D1, L4) in 2019, with 55.4% of such games also decided by one goal. To further exemplify Leeds’ mercurial home form, 12 of 23 visiting (league) teams last season bagged a goal, with 19 of such games seeing over 1.5 goals (total).

Patrick Bamford has three assists in five career matches against Forest and scored in Leeds’ opener. These teams’ openers saw at least ten corners – just like their last H2H.

Nottingham Forest Team News and Latest Form

Nottingham Forest may pose a different challenge to Leeds than Bristol City, however – as of December 2012, the Tricky Trees are undefeated in 84.62% of 13 H2H matchups (W6, D5, L2); a series of fixtures bookended by a 4-2 win for Forest (FOR H2H: W31, D34, L34).

Following a 2-1 home loss in their opener, Forest’s underdog status is somewhat warranted as their 2018/19 closing win ended a 14-game winless away run (in all competitions: D6, L7) – a run which saw 21.43% of matches ending under 1.5 goals. Yet despite failing to score in 39.13% of 23 away league games last season, Forest have netted in 75.0% of their previous 12 trips here.

Lewis Grabban has four career goals against Leeds and scored 16 league goals last season. Just 39.13% of Forest’s away games last season saw over 2.5 goals scored (total).

Leeds United vs Nottingham Forest Head to Head

Nottingham Forest won three of the previous ten H2H encounters (D 5, L2) including the previous duel when they beat Leeds United 4-2 at home. They were also better at Elland Road in recent years, winning three of the last eight meetings, and losing two in the process. The previous four H2H meetings have produced a total of 16 yellow cards and one red card.

Leeds United vs Nottingham Forest EFL Championship Betting Pick

Although United had problems to keep their net intact at home lately, I am not going to bet on both teams to score as Forest are not in a good away form. In fact, they managed to win a road game in the Championship only once in 2019, and it’s going to be hard to avoid a defeat in this one. Leeds are without a home win in the previous three games, but they are a better team, and that’s why my Leeds United vs Nottingham Forest EFL Championship Betting Pick is Leeds to win at 1.57 (-175). Also, you can check out our 2019-20 EFL Championship Season Betting Preview and Odds.

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