The 28th edition of the English Premier League begins on August 9, and so as our betting preview. A tilt between European champions and Premier League vice-champions Liverpool, and newly-promoted Norwich City will open the new campaign. The strongest football league in the world had its overture with the Community Shield duel between Manchester City and Liverpool. Pep Guardiola’s side was better on penalties after the regulation ended 1-1.
In the 2018-19 season, it was a two-horse race between Man City and Liverpool. The Citizens successfully defended the title by finishing one point ahead of the Reds. Liverpool are the most serious contenders to end Man City’s domination and prevent them from getting the third Premier League trophy in three years. Chelsea and Tottenham Hotspur completed top four while Manchester United and Arsenal experienced disappointing campaign, finishing in the 5th and 6th position, respectively.
Norwich City, Sheffield United, and Aston Villa earned promotion from the EFL Championship. Cardiff City, Fulham, and Huddersfield Town relegated to the second tier.
The Premier League teams spent more than £900 million on new reinforcements so far this summer. They continue to be the biggest spenders out of all European top 5 leagues. Interestingly, none of the top six teams spent the most money this summer. It’s newly-promoted Aston Villa, who bought a dozen new players, spending around £140 million on arrivals.
England Premier League – Winner and Top 4 Finish Betting Odds
The Citizens are Hoping for the Third Straight Title
The holding champions Manchester City are the biggest favorites to win their third consecutive title. Pep Guardiola splashed the cash on midfielder Rodri, who came from Atletico Madrid for £65 million. City also exploited a buy-back option on the left-back Angelino from PSV after selling him to the Dutch side last year. Vincent Kompany left to Anderlecht on a free transfer while Fabian Delph moved to Everton for £8.5 million. Sergio Aguero, Raheem Sterling, and Bernardo Silva will continue to be vital players in the attack. Guardiola’s side is pretty much the same from the 2018-19 campaign. That’s why is not strange the Citizens are 1.53 (-187) to win the title again.
Liverpool are still waiting for the first domestic title since 1990, and they were agonizingly close last year. They suffered only one loss in the entire season. However, they fell short in the end, but the Reds did win the Champions League after defeating Tottenham in the final, their sixth European title. Liverpool haven’t spent big this transfer window, and they even made a profit after selling Danny Ings to Southampton. Jurgen Klopp is satisfied with the strength of his squad. He’s happy to have Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain and Adam Lallana back from lengthy injuries. With the prolific front three; Mohamed Salah, Roberto Firmino, and Sadio Mane, and and the sturdiest defense in England, led by Virgil van Dijk and goalkeeper Alisson, Liverpool are the second-biggest favorites to win the Premier League at 3.75 (+275).
Spurs Had to Spend This Summer
Tottenham Hotspur were inactive in the previous two transfer windows, but after ending in the 4th position in 2018-19 and losing to Liverpool in the Champions League finals, Mauricio Pochettino decided to change his spending strategy this time around. He bought midfielder Tanguy Ndombélé from Lyon for £55 million. Kieran Trippier joined Atletico Madrid in a quite unexpected transfer. Fernando Llorente became a free agent while striker Vincent Janssen moved to the Mexican club Monterrey. Spurs are 21.00 (+2000) to win the Premier League. If you don’t believe they can do it, you can opt for betting on Tottenham to finish in Top 4 at 1.57 (-175).
United are Looking to Return to Top 4
Manchester United experienced a forgettable season last year as they finished in the 6th position. As always, expectations are high at Old Trafford. Ole Gunnar Solskjaer broke the world record and bought Harry Maguire for £80 million. Former Leicester City star became the most expensive defender in history. Ole also got talented right-back Aaron Wan-Bissaka from Crystal Palace for £50 million. Young winger Daniel James came from Swansea City. Ander Herrera, on the other hand, left for PSG, and Antonio Valencia went to LDU Quito, both on free. The Red Devils are 41.00 (+4000) to win the Premier League, but they are still not good enough to compete with Man City and Liverpool. Solskjaer’s primary objective is to make the Top 4, and United are 2.25 (+125) to return to the Champions League for the 2020-21 campaign. If you think they are ready to return to the elite, consider betting on the Red Devils to get back to Top 4.
Chelsea are also 41.00 (+4000) to win the Premier League while the Blues are 2.50 (+150) to stay in top four after ending the last season in the 3rd position. Manager Maurizio Sarri won the Europa League and then left for Juventus, and Chelsea hired their legend Frank Lampard to take Sarri’s place. The Blues are under a transfer embargo but they signed Mateo Kovacic from Real Madrid after his loan expired. Chelsea sold their best player Eden Hazard to Real for £90 million and made around £70 million profit in this transfer window. Lampard will have a hard job to keep Chelsea in top four while winning the Premier League would be a miracle.
The Gunners are Stronger This Time Around
Once again, Arsenal were left empty-handed once again in the 2018-19 campaign. They lost to Chelsea in the Europa League finals and missed out on the Champions League. Unai Emery brought a pair of teenagers this summer. Defender William Saliba came from St Etienne, and winger Gabriel Martinelli from Brazilian team Ituano. Saliba will stay with St Etienne for another season. Arsenal broke the club’s transfer record by bringing Nicolas Pepe from Lille for £72 million, and now will have a quite exciting front three with Pepe, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, and Alexandre Lacazette. Aaron Ramsey went to Juventus on a free transfer. Stephan Lichtsteiner and Danny Welbeck became free agents. Petr Cech retired while David Ospina moved to Napoli. The Gunners snapped creative midfielder Dani Ceballos on loan from Real Madrid, and he could play a prominent role in Emery’s side in 2019-20. Even though their attack is excellent, Arsenal still have a terrible defense. You can’t win trophies with lack of quality at the back. They are 67.00 (+6600) to win the Premier League and 2.50 (+150) to finish in Top 4.
England Premier League – Relegation Betting Odds
Newly-promoted Sheffield United and Norwich City are the most serious candidates to return to the EFL Championship instantly. Burnley and Brighton are in the mix as well. In all fairness, the Blades and Canaries do have the weakest individuals in their respective teams. However, we know that good individuals could not guarantee you elite status, which we learned from Fulham last year. Still, Sheffield United are 1.73 (-137) to go down while Norwich City are 2.00 (+100) to relegate to the second tier.
Brighton and Burnley survived last season but will face another relegation fight in 2019-20. The Clarets kept the core of their squad and brought forward Jay Rodriguez and left-back Erik Pieters. Manager Sean Dyche will be working with a rather unchanged side this time around. It is a good thing for Burnley, who are 3.00 (+200) to relegate to Championship, and they have a strong chance to stay up for another season.
On the other hand, Brighton might encounter more troubles in the relegation battle. They were only a couple of points ahead of the 18th-placed Cardiff City in 2018-19. They did bring Leandro Trossard from Genk, and he scored 17 goals for the Belgian club last year. Whether he is quality enough to play in the Premier League remains to be seen. Just like Burnley, Brighton are 3.00 (+200) to move to the Championship. You should consider betting on the Seagulls to relegate.
Mike Ashley Replaced Rafa Benitez with Steve Bruce
Newcastle United hired Steve Bruce after parting ways with Rafa Benitez, the decision which didn’t go well with their fans. Bruce immediately spent club’s record £40 million by bringing forward Joelinton from Hoffenheim. He sold Ayoze Pérez to Leicester City for £30 million. The Magpies could struggle to stay up despite having better individuals than Brighton and Burnley. They are also 3.00 (+200) to relegate.
Aston Villa made it to the Premier League by winning the Championship play-offs thanks to a win over Derby Country at Wembley. They are another side at 3.00 (+200), and although they spent the most money on new players this summer, even 12 arrivals will need time to adjust and develop good chemistry. That could be a problem for Dean Smith’s side early in the season.
The Betting Verdict
We should expect to see a two-horse race between Manchester City and Liverpool for the Premier League title again. At least six teams will fight for relegation, on the other hand. Ten exciting months are ahead, so fasten your seatbelts, enjoy the ride, and be careful with your betting . Also, check out our 2019-20 EFL Championship Season Betting Preview and Odds.