Friday at Wimbledon will be full of excitements. We’ll see both men’s semifinals, waiting for another epic duel between Roger Federer and Rafael Nadal.
Still, the reigning champ and the World No. 1 Novak Djokovic will take the court first, meeting the 23rd seed Roberto Bautista Agut. Djokovic is a massive 1.08 favorite to reach the final and a 1.60 fave to win this match in straight sets.
Djokovic was impressive in Week 2, hammering Ugo Humbert and David Goffin in straight sets. On the other side, Bautista Agut is enjoying a wonderful tournament, reaching his first-ever Wimbledon semis while dropping just a set.
Interestingly, these two players met twice in 2019 and Bautista Agut outlasted Djokovic in three sets on both occasions. I expect Novak to get a payoff on this one, but Roberto could make some problems if he copes with pressure well.
Hereof, taking the over 31.5 games at 1.90 seems like a reasonable choice, but I wouldn’t be surprised if Novak thrashes off the Spaniard.
On the other hand, I would be really upset if the second semifinal clash wraps up in three sets. Roger Federer takes on Rafael Nadal as a 2.10 underdog, and all their previous three matches at Wimbledon saw at least four sets.
Considering their current form, Federer and Nadal should win a set each. The price is not attractive at 1.40, but I just cannot imagine someone winning this match in straight sets. Roger is the eight-time champ here and arguably the best grass-court player ever, while Nadal was terrific over the last ten days.
Nadal has won 25 of his 39 meetings with Roger including one of their three encounters at Wimbledon, but Federer is 4-1 in the last five H2H matches.