Nigeria came from behind to beat Cameroon 3-2 in the previous round in possibly the best game at the AFCON thus far. South Africa, on the other hand, were underdogs in a game with Egypt but they managed to stop Mohamed Salah and deserved a narrow 1-0 victory. Nigeria are slight favorites in this one, but we already witnessed a few surprises, and it wouldn’t be that shocking to see Bafana Bafana making it to the semis.
Nigeria Team News and Latest Form
Nigeria recovered from a losing position at half-time (2-1) to secure a 3-2 win in a thrilling duel with Cameroon. Now, the Super Eagles are looking to continue with an impressive quarter-final run, which has seen them go further than this stage in six of their previous seven AFCON appearances.
Four of Nigeria’s six wins in AFCON quarter-finals in this century have come by a single-goal difference with three 2-1 victories, while the other two were recorded after a penalty shootout.
Odion Ighalo scored in both halves to open the scoring and equalize in the tilt with Cameroon. Four of Nigeria’s five 2019 wins have come by a single-goal margin.
South Africa Team News and Latest Form
Having seen ten of their previous 12 matches produce under 2.5 total goals in regulation, South Africa find themselves in the quarter-finals of this tournament for the first time since they hosted it in 2013. Bafana Bafana have failed to advance to the semis in two of their last three quarter-final appearances, and their only win in that period was a narrow one, 1-0.
Despite winning as the underdogs against favorites Egypt last time out, South Africa have failed to score in three of four competitive games as outsiders in 2019, with all four of those matches being without goals at halftime (W1, D1, L2).
Nigeria vs South Africa Head to Head
These rivals have faced 14 times since 1992, and the Super Eagles are leading the H2H encounters with seven victories; Bafana Bafana have two with five draws. Still, Nigeria is without a victory in the previous five duels (four draws) while the latest meeting in November 2018 finished 1-1. South Africa head coach Stuart Baxter is without a loss in two games with Nigeria head coach Gernot Rohr (W1, D1). Both managerial duels have produced under 2.5 goals.
Nigeria vs South Africa Betting Tip
None of South Africa’s last six matches provided goals on both sides, which was the case in six of Nigeria’s previous seven games. However, backing both teams not to score at 1.50 (-200) is not something I would suggest because three of the previous four H2H duels produced goals on both ends. Bafana Bafana’s four matches at this tournament produced zero goals in the first half while Nigeria’s games also tend to produce more goals in the second half, and that’s why I am backing more goals in the second 45 minutes at 2.20 (+110).