Brazil defeated the arch-rivals Argentina in the semi-final, and they kept the clean sheet in every match at this Copa America so far. On the other hand, Peru shocked the entire planet with a massive 3-0 win against Chile in the semis despite having only three attempts on goal, but it will be extremely hard to upset the odds once again.
Brazil vs Peru
• Copa America
• Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
• Sunday 7 July
• 22:00 CET
Brazil Team News and Latest Form
Brazil’s 2-0 semi-final win over Argentina put them within grasp of a ninth Copa America trophy. Given they are yet to allow a goal in this tournament, and destroyed Peru 5-0 in the group stage; their favorites tag is justified.
The Seleção failed to score in two of their five Copa America games thus far – those were the only matches that they didn’t hit the net since the start of 2018. Defensively sound, Brazil also allowed only five times in that span, with four of those goals coming in the first 45 minutes.
Gabriel Jesus scored Brazil’s semi-final opener and has bagged the opening goal in five of the previous seven international games he found the back of the net. We saw over 2.5 goals in Brazil’s latest four Copa America final appearances, with at least two first-half goals in each.
Peru Team News and Latest Form
Peru make their first final appearance since they won the Copa America back in 1975, but with only one win over Brazil in the last 19 H2H duels (W1, D5, L13), they are understandable underdogs here. Los Incas did defy the odds in both the quarter and semi-finals and kept their net intact in four of their previous six matches.
If Peru are to keep a clean sheet in this one, they need to improve defensively, but the 5-0 group stage loss to Brazil is still fresh in their memory. Head coach Ricardo Gareca has to be concerned as his team conceded a penalty in three of their last four Copa America games.
Edison Flores scored Peru’s semi-final opener and has been his nation’s first or last goalscorer in the last nine matches he’s scored in. Three of Peru’s previous four Copa America games produced a goal on the 90th minute or later.
Brazil vs Peru Head to Head
These rivals faced on 31 occasions since 1936 and Brazil are leading in all-time H2H encounters with 21 wins while Peru recorded three victories with seven draws. Brazil suffered only one loss to Peru in this century, and it was at the previous Copa America. That defeat cost Brazil a place in the quarter-finals as they ended third in the group behind Peru and Ecuador.
Brazil vs Peru Betting Tip
The odds on the hosts to win are low at 1.30 (-333), and backing the Brazilians at full time is something I would avoid. Instead, backing Seleção to cover the -1.5 spread on Asian Handicap at 2.00 (+100) is a more appealing option. If you prefer betting on goals, you can go with over 2.5 at 2.00 (+100).