As we already accustomed to, Lionel Messi and Argentina will end the Copa America without a title after losing to the hosts Brazil while Chile suffered a shocking 3-0 loss to Peru. La Albiceleste are the favorites in this one and they ahve an opportunity to at least get a bronze medal at this tournament.
Argentina vs Chile
• Copa America
• Arena Corinthians, São Paulo, Brazil
• Saturday 6 July
• 21:00 CET
Argentina Team News and Latest Form
Prior to this Copa America 3rd place play-off, Argentina are looking establish their dominance over Chile in the all-time series (W58, D24, L6). Argentina failed to win their first two matches, even though they were clear pre-game favorites.
After that “false start” La Albiceleste recorded a couple of 2-0 wins. Four of Argentina’s five Copa America games have now finished 2-0 one way or the other (W2, D1, L2), and that could yet combine with the fact that no Argentina team has yet lost against a side fielded by Chile coach Reinaldo Rueda (W2, D3).
Lautaro Martínez scored a first-half goal in two of their previous three games; he has been booked in their last two. With 15 yellow cards, Argentina are the worst-disciplined team in this year’s Copa America.
Chile Team News and Latest Form
Chile lost only three of their previous 17 games at these finals: W10, D4, L3. La Roja scored an average of 2.06 goals per match in the period mentioned above, although they scored just one goal in three games vs Argentina in that span.
In this tilt goes to penalties, Chile could also utilize their residual momentum from previous tournaments, having beaten Argentina on penalties in two of the previous three Copa America duels.
Eduardo Vargas scored a third of Chile’s goals, before their poor run of 339 minutes without a goal from open play up to this point. Reinaldo Rueda is without a loss in two of his three meetings with higher-ranked opposition during his reign as Chile head coach (W1, D1, L1).
Argentina vs Chile Head to Head
Argentina are dominant in H2H clashes as Chile have only eight victories since their first encounter in 1910. Still, two of those eight wins came in the previous five matches including the one in the finals of the 2016 Copa America when they defeated Argentina on penalties to hold the title. Argentina recorded a tight, 1-0 victory in the latest tilt thanks to Leo Messi’s first-half penalty. Four of the previous five H2H meetings have now seen the half-time scoreline match the one recorded at full-time.
Argentina vs Chile Betting Tip
Considering the fact that these teams combined for only one goal in the last 180 minutes of play, I am going with a low-scoring affair in this one. Chile failed to hit the net in the last three games after scoring six in the first two, and after a shocking loss to Peru, I seriously doubt their motivation here. Backing Argentina at 1.95 (-105) odds is not such a bad bet, but a bunch of knockout games at this tournament were decided after penalties, so I am not going to bet on a full-time result. The 2.10 (+110) odds on under 2.5 goals looks like a more attractive option to me.