The round of 32 will wrap up Saturday, and we’ll see both Rafael Nadal and Roger Federer in action closing down the first week of the 2019 Wimbledon Championships. Nadal takes on Jo-Wilfried Tsonga, while Federer meets Lucas Pouille, but the odds are not tempting at all.
Friday’s matches brought plenty of upsets, and I’ve got burned on all three bets on a three-match parlay, so some favorites should make it through on Saturday. Still, I can’t wager against Tsonga or Pouille to win at least a set on the grass court.
Jan-Lennard Struff defeated Taylor Fritz in the previous round, and the German is playing well on grass this season. He meets Mikhail Kukushkin who eliminated the ninth-seeded John Isner in five sets in the round of 32.
Isner served poorly and gave too many chances to Kukushkin. If Struff serves well and replicates his performance from the clash with Fritz, he will cover a 1.5-set handicap at 1.45.
On the other hand, Daniel Evans could have some problems against Joao Sousa as a 1.40 fave. Evans loves to play on the grass court which is not the case with Sousa. However, Evans is the World No. 61 and he’s never been a top-class player.
Hereof, Sousa should win at least a set here, especially after a three-set victory over a former Wimbledon finalist Marin Cilic. The price on Sousa to win a set is 1.45.
Sam Querrey is a 1.20 fave against Millman, as well as Kei Nishikori against Steve Johnson. While Querrey has been playing very well since returning from an injury and likes to play on grass, Nishikori has never been a fan of grass courts, reaching the quarterfinal here only once in 2018.
Matteo Berrettini is an interesting pick to cover a 1.5-set handicap at 1.50 against Diego Schwartzman. Berrettini won the title in Stuttgart on grass three weeks ago, while Schwartzman reached the quarterfinal at Queen’s a week later. However, Schwartzman came to Wimbledon with a 3-9 record on grass in a career.
Finally, Tennys Sandgren plays Fabio Fognini which is another strange match. Fognini had to play five sets in each of his first two outings here, while Sandgren played one set fewer. Tennys should be capable of making this one interesting to watch, while Fabio is a firm 1.30 favorite to reach the round of 16.