Chile vs Peru Betting Preview and Pick

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Both sides qualified to the semi-finals after knocking out Colombia and Uruguay on penalties. Peru were without a single attempt on target against Uruguay, and La Celeste had a pair of goals disallowed, and the Peruvians didn’t really deserve to come this far.

Chile vs Peru

•    Copa America

•    Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Brazil

•    Thursday 4 July

•    02:30 CET

Chile Team News and Latest Form

Chile won their previous three penalty shootouts at the Copa America. The quarter-final draw with Colombia was Chile’s third game in a row to separate the teams by less than 1.5 goals difference.

Each of Chile’s last three penalty shootout victories in the Copa America came after a goalless 120 minutes, but their latest Copa America record against sides currently ranked lower than themselves (W7, D0, L0 – GF 26, GA 5) asks for a win in regulation

A majority (four) of Chile’s previous seven Copa America duels with teams currently ranked below them have seen La Roja win the first half without conceding.

Peru Team News and Latest Form

Peru also made it to the semis after a goalless 120 minutes in their quarter-final, producing their fourth game without scoring in five Cope America matches since June 2016. It is now three Copa America games against higher-ranked rivals without a win (D2, L1 – GF 0, GA 5).

If all matches including friendlies are considered, each of the last three games involving Peru not to end goalless have produced a win/loss difference of over 1.5 goals (W1, L2). Also, those three games seen the winner score precisely twice in the second 45 minutes.

Peru’s previous three games won/lost either way have seen the last goal arrive after the 89th minute each time.

Chile vs Peru Head to Head

These rivals faced 49 times since 1935, and La Roja leads the all-time H2H meetings with 25 wins; Peru have 15 while nine matches were draws. Los Incas were a better team in the latest H2H encounter when they beat Chile 3-0 in a friendly, scoring all three goals after the interval.

Chile’s previous three competitive H2H encounters with Peru have seen them win the first half by a one-goal difference, and draw the second by a 1-1 score. Alexis Sánchez and Édison Flores scored their nation’s respective winning penalties in the quarter-finals and were also the last goalscorers in their most recent Copa America wins.

Chile vs Peru Betting Tip

Both teams are struggling to hit the net lately. Peru failed to do so in three of their four games at this Copa America while Chile were scoreless in the previous two matches after scoring six in the first two. That’s why I am not going to bet on the goals in this one, particularly after the quarter-finals in which we saw only two goals in total; both scored by the Argentinians.

The 1.50 (-200) odds on under 2.5 goals are suggesting that the bookies are expecting another low-scoring affair, and so do I. Still, I will not bet on the goals, and I am backing La Roja to get a victory at 1.87 (-115). Peru were lucky and rather unimpressive in the previous two matches at the tournament, and after failing to attempt a single shot on target against Uruguay, I don’t see them in the final.

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