Brazil vs Argentina Betting Preview and Pick

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The eternal rivals will face in the semis of this year’s Copa America, and even though Brazil had trouble to defeat resilient Paraguay in the quarter-finals, they are still favorites to beat Argentina here. On the other hand, La Albiceleste weren’t impressive at this tournament so far, but they didn’t have problems in the previous round against Venezuela.

Brazil vs Argentina

•    Copa America

•    Mineirão, Belo Horizonte, Brazil

•    Wednesday 3 July

•    02:30 CET

Brazil Team News and Latest Form

One of the biggest rivalries in international football is set to take place in the Copa America semis, as hosts Brazil (FIFA rank: #3) welcome arch-rivals Argentina (#11) for an opportunity to face either Peru or Chile in the final.

After suffering elimination to Paraguay on penalties in two of the previous three Copa America editions, Brazil managed to survive this time around as they were better in the shootout after a goalless 120 minutes. That goalless game means Brazil have not allowed a single goal in any match in 623 minutes of play (W5, D1).

Forward Everton fights for the top-scorer accolade with compatriot Phillipe Coutinho (two goals each); three of the four goals between them came in the second 45 minutes. Seleção have won the title in all five South American Championships that they have hosted.

Argentina Team News and Latest Form

Despite the fact that Argentina lost only one of their previous six games (W4, D1, L1), they are not that good in recent duels with top-ten ranked nations in the world. La Albiceleste lost each of their last four such games and are without a victory in five (D1, L4), since a 1-0 win over none other than Brazil in June 2016.

Inter forward Lautaro Martínez opened the scoring within the first ten minutes in each of his previous two games. Seven of Argentina’s last eight wins in all competitions came by more than a single-goal difference.

Argentina were dominant in their quarter-finals clash with Venezuela, and deservedly reached the semi-finals thanks to goals from Martinez and Giovani Lo Celso.

Brazil vs Argentina Head to Head

Brazil are ahead in the all-time H2H encounters with a record of W42, D24, L38, including four of the previous five duels (W3, D1, L1). Brazil coach Tite won his latest meeting against Lionel Scaloni’s Argentina (1-0) in the only previous clash of the head coaches. Also, all three of Tite’s H2Hs with Argentina saw just one side score (W2, L1). Argentina average two bookings per game in the last six H2H meetings.

Brazil vs Argentina Betting Tip

Brazil are favorites at 1.85 (-118) odds with, and when we take all-time H2H encounters in Brazil into consideration, and only two Argentina’s victories since 1919 (24 games in total), I am backing Seleção to get a win here. In fact, Argentina even failed to hit the net in seven of the last nine H2H meetings in Brazil, and the Brazilians allowed just one goal in the last ten home games. The Brazilians kept the clean sheet in each of four matches at this Copa America, and Argentina will find it hard to penetrate through such a rock-solid defense. That’s why I am not suggesting betting on both teams to score as one goal could decide the tilt.

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