South Africa vs Morocco Preview and Pick

Posted by

South Africa answered to an opening defeat to Ivory Coast with a narrow victory over Namibia, and now they have a chance to even end at the top of the group with three points in this one. Morocco, on the other hand, recorded a pair of identical 1-0 wins over Namibia and Ivory Coast, and they already secured their spot in the knockout stage.

South Africa vs Morocco

•    Africa Cup of Nations

•    Al Salam Stadium, Cairo, Egypt

•    Monday 1 July

•    18:00 CET

South Africa Team News and Latest Form

South Africa need to secure at least a point to make it through to the Africa Cup of Nations 1/8 finals. Each of the previous three H2H duels finished without a winner, although the last two have seen one side lead 1-0 after the opening 45 minutes.

Eight of South Africa’s previous ten games produced under 2.5 goals. Additionally, South Africa head coach Stuart Baxter has seen four of his last eight games in charge end as a draw.

South Africa’s Percy Tau was involved in all three goals across his nation’s just two wins in 2019, with those contributions all coming after the interval (two goals, one assist). Bafana Bafana’s recent form in the final group match of this competition is not very good (D3, L2). Going back to February 2013, South Africa won only one of the last five AFCON finals games where they scored the first goal (W1, D2, L2).

Morocco Team News and Latest Form

Morocco already secured their place in the knockout phase of this AFCON, and three of their last four victories produced the same scoreline; 1-0.

Two of those narrow 1-0 wins saw the winning goal coming after the opening 60 minutes. In total, five of Morocco’s previous seven games in all competitions finished 1-0 either way, though ironically, all five H2H encounters produced goals on both sides.

The only Moroccan player to score at this year’s tournament, Youssef En-Neysri, scored the winning goal in two of the Atlas Lions’ previous three wins in the group phase. A 2-2 stalemate with South Africa in January 2013 remains the last time Morocco failed to win an AFCON game after opening the scoring.

South Africa vs Morocco Head to Head

These teams have faced five times since 1998, and Morocco are still searching for the first victory over South Africa. Bafana Bafana have two victories with three draws, and all three occurred in the last three meetings. Each of those five duels provided goals on both ends, but they haven’t met since 2013, so these stats might be misleading.

South Africa vs Morocco Betting Tip

South Africa participated in low-scoring affairs lately, and we didn’t see more than one goal in each of their last four matches including the first two at this AFCON. Given that eight of Morocco’s previous ten games produced under 2.5 goals, I am not going to back goals in this one. The 1.47 (-213) odds on under 2.5 goals are miserable, and I’d suggest you to avoid betting on goals. My pick would be a draw at 3.00 (+200), not because the previous three H2H encounters finished without a winner, but because both teams would be happy with a point.

Leave a Reply