Uruguay topped Group C with a vital 1-0 victory against Chile, and instead of facing Colombia in the quarter-finals, they’ll face a relatively weaker rivals – Peru. Los Incas suffered a catastrophic 5-0 defeat to Brazil and are desperate to make a better impression here.
Uruguay vs Peru
• Copa America
• Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Brazil
• Saturday 29 June
• 21:00 CET
Uruguay Team News and Latest Form
Uruguay are masters of holding the lead after drawing first blood. They have now done this in five of their previous six games, while La Celeste also scored in the final 15 minutes of each win.
Uruguay’s victory over Chile also represented their fourth Copa America match without a loss (W3, D1). Interestingly, in addition to producing a winning difference of 3+ goals, two of the victories in that span saw Uruguay’s rivals score an own-goal in the last half hour.
Edinson Cavani bagged the winner against Chile which was his second goal of this Copa America, with both goals coming in the last 15 minutes of either half. Five of Uruguay’s previous six wins have seen them win both halves.
Peru Team News and Latest Form
A 5-0 loss to Brazil last time out served to illustrate the gap that still exists between Peru and the elite South American teams. Ricardo Gareca’s side has a poor record (W1, D2, L3) from their previous six Copa America games against CONMEBOL teams currently ranked inside FIFA’s top-20.
The Brazil result was an exception, however, with five of those mentioned games separating the sides by no more than a one-goal difference. Also, the first half is usually close when these teams meet, with Peru’s last two tilts with Uruguay seeing one team win after a draw at half time. Since 1995, Peru participated in two Copa America knockout stage penalty shootouts, going out on both occasions.
Uruguay vs Peru Head to Head
Uruguay and Peru have met 41 times since 1927 and Uruguay are a better side in H2H duels with 25 wins; Peru have 11 victories with five draws. Still, Los Incas were a better team in the latest H2H encounter as they defeated Uruguay 2-1 in World Cup qualifier. Paolo Guerrero and Edison Flores scored for the Peruvians after Carlos Sanchez’s opener.
Uruguay vs Peru Betting Tip
Uruguay are favorites at 1.73 (-137), and even though anything could happen in the knockout stage, I am still backing La Celeste to get a win and progress to the semi-finals. Los Incas are hoping to bounce back from a disastrous defeat to Brazil and try to prove they deserve to be among the top eight sides in the continent. Four of the last six H2h clashes produced goals on both ends, my additional pick is both teams to score at 2.20 (+120).