A draw is out of the question for Ecuador and Japan here as only three points can get them to the knockout stage following the latest results elsewhere. Both teams played better in their second game of the Copa America and in this decisive tilt, we expect to see the very best from Ecuador and Japan.
Ecuador vs. Japan
• Copa America
• Mineirão, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
• Tuesday 25 June
• 01:00 CET
Ecuador Team News and Latest Form
Ecuador registered only four wins in all matches since the start of 2018 (W4, D3, L5), three of which were against lower-ranked sides. Furthermore, Ecuador are yet to win in five games against higher-ranked rivals in 2019 (D1, L4).
Ecuador haven’t played a goalless first 45 minutes in any of their four matches since the beginning of June (1.75 total first-half goals average). Enner Valencia scored his first goal of the tournament from the penalty spot last time out; he scored in two of their three group games in the previous Copa America.
Both of Ecuador’s Copa America group matches saw over 1.5 first-half goals. Ecuador have had a man sent-off in both group games thus far. Los Amarillos are without a victory in their last six games, and they scored only four goals in that span but will need to score a minimum one to progress to the knockout stage.
Japan Team News and Latest Form
As one of the Copa America’s guests and the first non-North/Latin American nation to play in the Copa America, Japan are yet to win a match ahead of their sixth game in the tournament (D2, L3).
Head coach Hajime Moriyasu has enjoyed relative success since taking the helm; averaging 2.17 points per game. Nine of his 12 wins in charge have been to nil, although over half of the victories were by just a single-goal difference (58.3%).
Eight of Japan’s previous ten matches have seen only one or no teams score. Japan’s defence was a bit better in 2019, but they also conceded six goals at this Copa America after keeping their net intact in three straight games.
Ecuador vs. Japan Head to Head
Ecuador and Japan have faced just once before, and it was in a friendly clash back in 2006 when the Samurai Blue got a tight, 1-0 win.
Ecuador vs. Japan Betting Tip
Ecuador are currently the most inefficient team at this Copa America, but they know they must score here to keep their quarter-finals hopes alive. I am pretty confident this match will not finish without goals but backing both teams to score at 1.57 (-175) is not an appealing bet. Considering both sides need three points here and a 1-1 draw will not work, backing BTTS and Over 2.5 goals at 1.83 (-120) is a better option.