Bolivia are massive underdogs in this one after losing the first match of the tournament to the hosts Brazil while Peru will be looking to get three points and stay in the contention for the top spot in Group A.
Bolivia vs. Peru
• Copa America
• Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
• Tuesday 18 June
• 23:00 CET
Bolivia Team News and Latest Form
Losing 3-0 to hosts Brazil at the 2019 Copa America premiere, Bolivia won only one of their previous 15 games since the World Cup 2018 qualifiers (D6, L8). They could easily find themselves on a five-game losing run without scoring a goal, against opposition they failed to beat in their last eight encounters (D4, L4).
Although we saw both teams scoring in 33.33% of their previous 15 matches, Bolivia lost every game of the 2016 Copa America after suffering a defeat in the opener. Another bad news for La Verde is that head coach Eduardo Villegas is still looking for his first victory as Bolivia boss (D1, L3).
Marcelo Moreno was rather unnoticeable against Brazil but scored from the penalty spot in Bolivia’s 3-1 defeat to Peru back in 2015. Three of the previous four goals allowed by Bolivia arrived in the 15 minutes either side of half-time.
Peru Team News and Latest Form
Peru will be optimistic to exploit the fact that Bolivia are not playing well lately. Head coach Ricardo Gareca (W23, D12, L19) led Peru to three H2H victories in the last four years. Still, a scoreless draw with Venezuela in their previous match saw them register their eighth draw in all competitions since November 2016.
Los Incas will also be encouraged by the fact that they have won three of their previous ten friendlies to nil (W3, D1, L6), with both teams scoring in only 40.0% of those matches.
Additionally, just 40.0% of Peru’s last 15 games produced three or more goals in total. In situations when they scored a first goal in the Copa America (last seven games), Peru have a record of W5, D1, so if they open the scoring here, it is quite probable they’ll get three points.
Bolivia vs. Peru Head to Head
Peru have the advantage in H2H duels with 16 victories since 1927 (W16, D10, L10) and they are without a loss to Bolivia in this decade, winning the last three encounters.
Bolivia vs. Peru Betting Tip
Bolivia will likely have more chances to score here than they had against Brazil but the Peruvians are strong favorites and recent H2H record is completely on their side. Still, backing Peru at 1.45 (-222) is not such an appealing bet but in our opinion, it’s a sure shot. Peru scored at least two goals in each of their last three victories over Bolivia, so you can go with Peru to win and score over 1.5 goals at 1.80 (-125).