Peru were given the second-lowest odds to win Group A but it is hard to expect they will beat the hosts Brazil to the top of the table. Still, qualifying for the knockout stage is expected and this clash with Venezuela could decide which team will finish in the second place.
Venezuela vs. Peru
• Copa America
• Arena do Gremio, Porto Alegre, Brazil
• Saturday 15 June
• 21:00 CET
Venezuela Team News
Venezuela never won a major trophy in their history and they never played in final of the Copa America. The fourth place in 2011 is La Vinotinto’s best achievement at this tournament when suffered a 4-1 loss to Peru in the battle for the bronze medal. Interestingly, Venezuela were drawn in the same group as Brazil in 2011 then and they finished in the second position.
Head coach Rafael Dudamel’s squad is a mixture of experience and youth and majority of the players know each other very well. Torino midfielder Tomas Rincon is the captain of this team and leader of generation while Newcastle United striker Salomon Rondon is certainly the best player in the squad. Rondon leapfrogged legendary Juan Arango as Venezuela’s top scorer after he bagged a couple of goals in a friendly against the USA and now he has 24 goals to his name.
Venezuela Latest Form
Venezuela ended a three-game winless streak earlier this week, and though they don’t win often, they tend to be dominant when they do. All of their last four wins came by a margin of 2+ goals, and they allowed only one goal in those four games. La Vinotinto have now found the back of the net in 11 games in a row, but a leaky defense seems to be their biggest issue at the moment. They kept just three clean sheets in that same 11-game sequence, with both teams scoring in eight of those games.
Salomon Rondon is in top form, with four goals in his previous four games for club and country. Seven of Venezuela’s last nine goals scored came in the first half. In the most recent Copa America, only two sides received more yellow cards than Venezuela (13).
Peru Team News
Peru won the Copa America twice (1939 and 1975) and since then, they won three bronze medals while they ended in the fifth place in 2016. Los Incas are the second favorite to win Group A and even though it is not expected to finish ahead of Brazil, they should progress to the knockout phase without problems.
Head coach Ricardo Gareca has been at charge since 2015 and he managed to take Peru to the 2018 World Cup in Russia for the first time in 36 years. Gareca has a rather experienced side at his disposal and will lean on star forwards Paolo Guerrero and Jefferson Farfan to lead the team through the group stage and to the quarter-finals. Guerrero is at the top of all-time scoring list with 35 goals while Farfan is following him with 26 goals to his name. Rayo Vallecano full-back Luis Advíncula, Cruz Azul midfielder Yoshimar Yotun, and Santos playmaker Christian Cueva, are also the players who have ability to make difference.
Peru Latest Form
Struggling Peru have won just two of their last seven games (W2, D1, L4). The biggest problem for Gareca’s team has been their tendency to collapse after allowing the first goal, as each of their previous six losses saw them concede two goals or more.
On the other hand, all of their last six victories have been with a clean sheet, which means that the only way to get a win is to keep the opposition away from goal. Peru’s reliance on scoring first is further reflected by the fact that only two of Peru’s last eight games have seen both teams score.
Paolo Guerrero scored when these two rivals last met in 2017, and he can boast five goals in his previous six matches at club level.
Venezuela vs. Peru Head to Head
The foes have met 26 times thus far and Peru have 16 wins, Venezuela have been better on six occasions while four duels ended without a winner. Peru’s last four H2H clashes with Venezuela have yielded a record of W1, D2, L1. Also, seven of the ten goals scored in those matches came in the second 45 minutes while the last two tilts ended as a draw.
Venezuela vs. Peru Betting Tip
Los Incas are not as dominant against Venezuela lately as it was the case in the previous century and given that the last two encounters finished 2-2, we’re backing you to go with a draw here. Venezuela are in a slightly better form right now but they are not good enough to get a victory here, so you can go with a draw at 3.00 (+200). Venezuela conceded at least a goal in six of their previous seven games but they also scored in each of their last 11 matches. Both teams to score at 2.05 (+105) is another good option to try.