Brazil are the biggest favorites to win this year’s Copa America because they have the strongest team at the moment and the fact that they are hosting the tournament can only help them. On the other hand, Bolivia are one of the biggest underdogs and anything but Brazil’s big victory would be a surprise.
Brazil vs. Bolivia
• Copa America
• Estadio do Morumbi, Sao Paulo, Brazil
• Saturday 15 June
• 02:30 CET
Brazil Team News
Brazil are looking to get their 9th Copa America title and first since 2007. They haven’t won a major trophy for six years and following disappointing 2018 World Cup in Russia, the pressure is mounting on them to deliver.
Head coach Tite needed to make changes to his squad just a weeks before the tournament starts as superstar Neymar sustained an ankle injury and will not feature at Copa America. Still, Tite can rely on Philippe Coutinho, Gabriel Jesus, Roberto Firmino, and Richarlison to lead the team forward.
Brazil haven’t lost their opening Copa America game since 1975 and have 11 wins and three draws. Additionally, the Selecao never suffered a defeat lost to Bolivia outside of Bolivia (W16, D2), and managed to score even 77 goals against them in those games, conceding just eight in return.
Brazil Latest Form
After a loss to Belgium in the quarter-finals of the 2018 World Cup, Brazil played ten friendly games and won nine of them with one draw. They scored 25 goals and allowed just two in return while the Brazilians are on a three-game winning run. Tite’s team destroyed Panama 7-0 in the final friendly game before the Copa America. Brazil haven’t conceded a goal on home soil in eight games and scored 26 in the process.
Bolivia Team News
Bolivia’s two medals at the Copa America were in 1963 (gold) and 1997 (silver) and both times they were the host nation. Brazil beat them in the 1997 Copa America final.
Head coach Eduardo Villegas is heavily relying on players who are playing in the Bolivian league and has only three players who are playing abroad. Shijiazhuang Ever Bright striker Marcelo Moreno needs three goals to equal Joaquín Botero’s record of 20 goals for the country.
Marcelo Moreno was the last Bolivian player to score against Brazil back in 2009. Twelve of the 14 Bolivia games he scored in saw both teams score, while 11 of his strikes were either as the first or last goalscorer.
Bolivia Latest Form
Bolivia are on a disastrous run of only one victory in 16 matches (D7, L8). They failed to score in nine of those games, while they opened the scoring in only one match. Also, Bolivia’s record in the opening game of this tournament is abysmal, winning just one of their last 14 openers (D8, L5), which incidentally was against Brazil, but back at home in La Paz. Five of Bolivia’s previous six matches produced under 2.5 goals.
Brazil vs. Bolivia Head to Head
These teams have met 28 times and Brazil is way ahead with a record of W19, D4, L5, while the previous duel at in Bolivia ended 0-0. Brazil never lost to Bolivia at home and they failed to get a victory in just two of 17 encounters while Bolivia haven’t scored a first-half goal in the last six H2Hs played in Brazil.
Brazil vs. Bolivia Betting Tip
With extremely low odds on Brazil’s win, the best option is to back the hosts to win by more than two goals, so AH -2.5 at 1.60 (-166) seems as a solid bet. Also, we should note that Brazil is averaging a bit over four goals in the last six home games against Brazil and backing the hosts to score over 3.5 goals at 2.10 (+110) is another good bet to try.